We are in the process of testing a method using Friedrich to identify great short candidates. Among the original "Thrilling Thirteen" that makes up our test portfolio started on August 1, 2017 is Coty (COTY). The closing price on the day we added it to the test portfolio was $20.23. Then the company reported its quarterly earnings before the open on Tuesday, August 22 nd and the stock dropped like a rock.

The data file below was compile on August first but changed little from our previous monthly update.

Notice, if you will, that the Friedrich Super Six Score was "Short". But that is just the starting point.

Next, notice that the Sherlock Debt Divisor was nearly 50 percent higher than the Wall Street Price. That means the company is carrying a lot of debt relative to its working capital.

Badwill stood at 117 percent. That indicates that the company overpaid for assets acquired in mergers.

The combination of these three conditions made this stock stand out to us as a potential short candidate.

The chart below shows price activity for Coty for the last five trading days.

Coty closed at $19.42 on Monday and today the stock got as low as $16.20, it rallied near the close but fell again in after hours trading back down to $16.20. The full change for the day was -17.35 percent from Mondays close to the after hours close on Tuesday.

Of the 13 stocks we chose on August 1 st, seven are down by double figures. The average fall in price per share is more than -15 percent in just 22 calendar days (16 trading days). Maybe we were lucky. But the same set up was present to varying degrees on each company. And the same situation also existed for Valeant Phamaceuticals before it fell from its lofty levels.

We are testing this combination because we found it to be present over and over again in stocks that have crashed. It does not predict all drops, of course, as big misses on earnings reports (among other catalysts) can do a lot of damage as well. What we have found, though, is that when these elements exist together the probability of a company failing to meet expectation rises significantly.

No system is perfect but we believe we may have found another method to help our Marketplace subscribers beat the odds.

Of the thirteen stock short positions we started with on August 1 st only three remain above our entry price, seven are down by double digits, four are down at least 20 percent and two are down over 40 percent. If these results occurred over six months or a year it would be good, but when it happened in 22 days even we have been asounded!

Among our other big winners were Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA), AMC Entertainment (AMC), Ascena Retail Group (ASNA), Chicago Bridge and Iron (CBI) all of which are down over 20 percent this month.

It should be obvious (but we will point it out anyway) that this sort of result is not attainable every month because the volume of M&A (merger and acquisition) activity may not create enough new candidates on such a regular basis. Also, even though we update our data every month on over 4,000 U.S. stocks, companies only report once per quarter, so often all that changes in a month is the price of the underlying stock. But as companies report and new data become available throughout each quarter our Friedrich crunches all the numbers and we review the results. You can be sure we will be watching for more short candidates with every update.

Disclosure: I am/we are short AMC, COTY, TEVA, CBI, ASNA.

I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Additional disclosure: DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not advice to buy or sell this or any stock; it is just pointing out an objective observation of unique patterns that developed from our research. Factual material is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but the poster is not responsible for any errors or omissions, or for the results of actions taken based on information contained herein. Nothing herein should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities or to give individual investment advice.

See the article here:
Coty: Anatomy Of A Short - Seeking Alpha

The Union Public Service Commission is inviting applications for the post of Specialist Grade-III to be hired by the concerned department under Ministry of Health & Family Welfare. Candidates willing to take up the post can apply for the same till August 31, 2017 (Thursday). The number of vacancies are eight for Unreserved Category (4), OBC (3) and ST (1) only. The qualified candidates would be offered the salary as per PB-3 i.e. Rs.15, 600-39,100 with Grade Pay Rs.6600/- plus N.P.A as admissible (Pre-Revised). The post carries probation of one year.

Eligibility Parameters:Age: Not exceeding 40 years on the normal closing date. Not exceeding 45 years for ST and 43 years for OBC candidates on the normal closing date, in respect of posts reserved for them. (Relaxable for Govt. servants by 5 years in accordance with instructions issued by the Central Govt.)

Educational Qualification:

Roles and Responsibilities: The Officer shall be responsible for

Documents for Interview:Qualified and eligible candidates will receive official communication from the Commission for interview. Candidates shortlisted for interview on the basis of the information provided in the online applications submitted by them will be required to send self-attested copies of documents/relevant certificates in support of the claims made in the application as and when demanded by the Commission.

About UPSC:Established on 1 October 1926 as Public Service Commission, the Union Public Service Commission (UPSC) is India's prestigious central recruiting agency that conducts appointments to and examinations for All India services and group A & group B of Central services. It was known as Federal Public Service Commission by the Government of India Act, 1935 and was then renamed as today's Union Public Service Commission after the independence.

Read more here:
UPSC-2017 Invites Applications for Assistant Professor Anatomy (III) - Business Standard

School is back in session and that means parents everywhere are asking themselves the same question: What should I pack for lunch? Its an important question, since fueling kids bodies with nutritious foods will help them stay alert and focused at school, while also providing the building blocks for a healthy, growing body.

So what is the answer? Finding a way to pack a balanced, tasty and healthy lunch five days a week can be a challenge, so try breaking it down into these essential components: whole grains, protein, dairy and fresh produce.

The most obvious choice here is a sandwich made with whole wheat bread. Dont forget to double-check the ingredients list on the package to make sure your bread is actually a whole grain. If the first ingredient listed isnt whole wheat flour, you arent getting what you paid for.

And while sandwiches are great, its okay to think outside the box. Muffins made with whole-wheat flour, brown rice mixed with veggies and whole grain crackers all make the cut.

Protein is one of the most essential nutrients for young, growing bodies, so finding a variety of protein-rich foods your kids love is important. Try deconstructing that customary sandwich into deli meat roll-ups or use the peanut butter for dipping fresh fruit and vegetables. Greek yogurt, rotisserie chicken pieces, cottage cheese and hard-boiled eggs are other great sources of protein.

Foods rich in dairy provide important nutrients like calcium, iodine, riboflavin, protein and vitamin B12. The best choices for children over two years of age are a variety of low or reduced-fat dairy products. A lunchbox packed with at least one serving of milk, yogurt or cheese is a great way for kids to meet the recommended 2 -3 cups of dairy per day.

Every lunchbox should contain at least two fresh produce items. Apples, carrots, bell peppers, cucumbers, orange slices, fresh berries and cherry tomatoes are just a few delicious and colorful ideas. When it comes to produce, taking the time to do some of the prep work beforehand is key. Spend an afternoon washing, peeling and chopping so that fruits and vegetables can be ready and waiting to throw into lunches each morning.

Fruity Nut n Honey Energy Bites Recipe

Ingredients

1 cup cherries, dried

1 teaspoon vanilla extract

2 cup Honey Nut Cheerios

1/3 cup pumpkin seed kernels

1/2 cup almond butter

1 teaspoon honey

Directions

1. Soak dried cherries in hot water for 10 minutes. Drain and add to a food processor. Add vanilla and pulse until a paste forms (about 1 minute).

2. Add 1.5 cups of the Honey Nut Cheerios to the food processor and pulse again until the Cheerios are fairly crushed and well mixed in.

3. In a medium bowl, combine cherry mixture, pepitas (pumpkin seeds), almond butter, honey and the remaining 1/2 cup of whole Cheerios. Mix well.

4. Form into small balls, pressing tightly together with palms. If they are not quite sticking together, add just a tiny bit more almond butter.

5. Store in an airtight container in the fridge for grab-and-go snacking.

Source: http://www.superhealthykids.com

Taryn Palmer is a registered dietitian for the Magic Valley YMCA.

Go here to see the original:
Palmer: Anatomy of a healthy lunchbox - Twin Falls Times-News

Please wait while we sign you in with LinkedIn.

This may take some time.

Please be patient and do not refresh the page.

(A new window from LinkedIn should open for you to authorize the B&T login. If you don't see this please check behind this window, and if it is still not there check your browser settings and turn off the pop-up blocker.)

See the article here:
Infographic: Anatomy Of A Successful Creative - B&T

Team Selection: Bold, but it worked

It was painfully clear after Saturdays defeat to Leeds United that the majority of our first choice players were in need of a rest and, with the opportunity to field a weakened team in the cup presented to Simon Grayson, he did just that.

Only Gabon international Didier Ndong retained his place in the Sunderland XI, and the ten changes that the manager made gave us a mixed bad in terms of individual performances. Grayson spoke pre-match about those playing taking their chances to keep their place and I think that in the cases of Bryan Oviedo, Lynden Gooch and Robbin Ruiter they did just that. On the flip side, Adam Matthews and Papy Djilobodji were incredibly poor and they wont have done themselves any favours.

That said, we won. So, all in all, the decision to make a raft of changes can only be considered a rousing success.

Verdict: Grayson had to take a gamble and make mass changes. We rode our luck for the most part but we won inside 90 minutes, which is the most important thing.

The Carlisle fan we spoke to in Fan Focus prior to the game suggested that theyd set up in an unorthodox system and it had me wondering before the game whether wed do the same in order to match their shape.

And we did, sort of. For the first time this season we lined up in a 5-3-2/3-1-4-2, with a back five consisting of Bryan Oviedo, Papy Djilobodji, John OShea, Adam Matthews and Donald Love.

The fluidity allowed Oviedo and Love to flourish - and both had very good games - but the same cannot be said about Djilobodji or Matthews, who struggled immensely and were continually dug out of the shit by the fantastic OShea, who marshaled our defence superbly. In fairness to Matthews he isnt a centre half and Im not entirely sure why he was playing, especially when someone like Tom Beadling or Michael Ledger would have really appreciated the opportunity to play for the first team in a position that theyre familiar with.

We looked good on the break and our energy in attack was useful. Joel Asoro found himself one on one with the Carlisle goalkeeper on two occasions but couldnt score - still, it was testament to the way that we set up in the game that he was even presented with the opportunity to get beyond the Carlisle defence with his pace and determination. On another day, we could have had another two or three goals.

Verdict: We looked uncomfortable in defence but in attack we were incredibly fluid - it was worth a try, but I expect well go back to a more traditional 4-2-2-2 on Saturday.

With the game tied at 1-1 and Carlisle firmly in the driving seat it was the introduction of our three substitutes that perhaps gave us the opportunity to re-affirm ourselves as the favourites for a win.

After Carlisles fortunate penalty they were all over us and it honestly felt as though we were going to concede a second imminently. Had it not been for Robbin Ruiter, we probably would have.

Grayson was forced into some quick thinking and he brought on Lamine Kone and James Vaughan, who battled hard and gave the spine of our side the solidity it needed in order to get through the rest of the game.

Then when Aiden McGeady was introduced it forced Carlisle to drop back ten yards or so, handing us the initiative to go and seek a second goal - and it worked.

Verdict: Kone and Vaughan were introduced when it was clearly needed and McGeady gave Carlisle something extra to think about. Nothing surprising but they helped us to win the game and hold our lead.

Grayson was keen to talk up the performance of Robbin Ruiter, who was fantastic between the sticks last night, and indicated that he now has a serious headache over which goalkeeper to select this coming Saturday at Barnsley.

He told the Sunderland Echo:

When he was required to make saves, he made them, and that's why we signed him after the trial period.

Hed done enough in training and in the two games he played for us to make that decision to sign him permanently. It gives us that competition for places that we needed.

I was pleased with him and I was pleased with quite a lot of the players that came in tonight and who haven't figured.

Thats what the players are required to do, they get paid to play and put on performances. A lot of them have done some decent things, weve obviously got to make improvements in certain areas but weve been asked a lot of questions tonight and ultimately we came through the game.

Ive not seen much more than what I expected of the players, I watch them every day in training, thats where I learn about them, how good they are and the deficiencies they have at times. Its nice to see that theyve stood firm and won a cup tie.

I have to say, I think that Graysons pep talk before the game about affording opportunities and ensuring that the players took their chance to stake a claim for a regular spot in the team was outstanding.

Quite a number of the ten players that were brought in for this cup tie upped their game considerably and it would be unfair if Grayson wasnt at least credited with a part in that.

What I like about Grayson is that hes very personable in his words - he doesnt try to bullshit you and is very honest about his style of man-management, which is refreshing having suffered from the negativity of David Moyes for such a long period last season.

Verdict: Dot on. Grayson knows exactly how to motivate not only his first choice eleven, but the squad as a whole.

Read more here:
Grayson's Anatomy: How did the Sunderland manager rate after last night's win v Carlisle? - Roker Report (blog)

Welcome to the Anatomy of a Goal, where each week we dissect one goal (or near goal) from the previous weeks Columbus Crew SC match.

For match 26 on the 2017 MLS Season, we take a look at Giles Barness 67th minute goal that put Orlando City SC level with Crew SC at 1-1, as part of the draw on Saturday.

Heres a look at the finish from the Orlando attacker.

After entering halftime up 1-0, the Black & Gold played on the back foot for much of the second half. New Designated Player signing Pedro Santos entered the match, but had little effect up to this point. The Lions goal seemed like it had been coming the entire half.

Orlando Citys equalizer began with center-back Tommy Redding picking up the ball just across the midfield line in his defensive half. Redding sees a wide open Cyle Larin (just to the right of the image) and plays an entry pass to the feet of the striker.

With the ball on the wing, Larin has space in front of him and can either play a pass to his strike partner Carlos Rivas, dribble the ball at Crew SC center-back Lalas Abubakar, or pass down the line to right back Scott Sutter.

The Columbus defense has a five-man backline, featuring both wing backs, with two defensive midfielders right in front of the center back trio.

Larin decides to carry the ball forward and is met by the Black & Golds newest addition, Santos. Under pressure, Larin once again has the same three options.

This time, Larin decides to slide the ball over to his right-back, Sutter, who is immediately defended by Waylon Francis. With the ball at his feet and no path forward, Sutter can pass the ball back into Larin, drop the ball back to Rivas, or dribble the ball backward to create more space.

Sutter finds Larin in the penalty box, who has his back to the goal and is defended by Abubakar.

With his back to the goal and Abubakar providing pressure, Larin has three options as Sutter cuts toward the goal. If Sutter is able to beat Francis, he can play a slotted pass to his right back, Larin can drop the ball back to Rivas or attempt to beat Abubakar off the dribble.

Sutters run goes nowhere, so Larin drops the ball back to Rivas.

Larins pass lacks pace, allowing Mohammed Abu to pressure the Orlando striker.

Rivas and Abu fight for the ball, and just as it looks like Abu might be about to set off on a Columbus counter attack . . .

. . . Rivas deflects the ball to teammate Cristian Higuita.

At the top of the triangle is the eventual goalscorer, Barnes. Wil Trapp is just to the left of Barnes, and should be marking the Lions attacker.

In the above video, Higuita uses an excellent turn to get around Abu, and send himself toward the goal and into a position to eventually slot the ball into Barnes.

Having left Abu behind, Higuita and Rivas both head toward the Black & Golds goal. Barnes is still near Trapp, though Trapp will totally abandon the midfielder.

With a touch from Rivas, Higuita continues his run forward. Abubakar leaves Larin to Francis and heads toward Higuita. Barnes begins his run in the channel between the Crew SC center backs. Trapp does not follow Barnes.

Here, Higuita can see that Barnes has beaten Trapp. If Higuita is able to beat Abubakar with a pass then Barnes should be in on goal.

In the middle of the 18-yard-box, Jonathan Mensah defends Dom Dwyer and holds Barnes onside.

Higuita plays a pass right between the legs of Abubakar as Barness has easily beaten Trapp. Trapp still hasnt attempted to recover from leaving Barnes open.

Here, is a quick video of Higuitas pass right between the legs of Abubakar. The Columbus center back leaves himself open for a nutmeg and Higuita makes the perfect pass right into the path of Barnes.

Just as Higuitas pass heads toward Barnes, you can see that the Orlando attacker was held onside by Jonathan.

From the side angle, Barnes was likely one to two yards onside as Higuita nutmegged Abubakar.

With only the goalkeeper between him and the goal, Barnes can continue dribbling forward, fire a quick shot or slot a pass into the path of Dwyer.

Barnes decides to keep dribbling and, once inside the six-yard-box, hits his shot from an incredibly difficult angle. Zack Steffen has cut off the near post, so Barnes must look to between the keepers legs.

The above video shots multiple angles of Barnes difficult shot. Steffen positions himself well, only leaving a difficult angle to the back post open for Barnes.

Barness shot just beats Steffen and Josh Williams . . .

. . . and caroms of the post for the equalizer from a difficult angle.

Findings:

The rest is here:
Anatomy of a Goal: Giles Barnes Equalizer - Massive Report