My thoughts on the ChatGPT
Hey, everyone; in this article, I would like to present my thoughts on the ChatGPT and everything thats happening in the world of AI. This is not an AI war; this is a war of data that these companies have been collecting for years and years.
Recently, one of the talks of those founders of Gmail said that within just the next two years, GPT would disrupt how Google is working. Now, that disruption might happen in favor of Google or might happen in favor of Microsoft, but disruption is sure.
Google is a company that just came in 1998 and nearly 90% of the people prefer Google search engine. Their 60% of revenue depends on this search (i.e.) the ads shown to you while you are searching for something. Google, a $2 trillion company whose primary synonym is information like you want to search anything, the synonym is Google it out, and this company was able to change the fundamental behavior of humans.
Before Google, people used to remember the website name, and now, after Google, people dont remember the website name. You just search for it and eventually land on a page that will probably give you the best information. This is a fundamental change in human behavior from remembering the website to just searching about the website or information.
Yes, we should be worried about just two things.
The adoption rate of a technology
Adoption rate means, for example, ChatGPT was able to secure 100 million users in just two months, which is pretty insane. People might not be paid users eventually, but they were curious about it, which is more than enough in this attention-driven economy.
The fundamental change in human behavior
Then the next most important thing people should be worried about is when there is a fundamental change in human behavior. For example, now taking a cab via an app on the phone just seems normal. For example, the mobile phone nowadays, you check your pockets probably ten times a day or probably more than that, whether your phone is there or not; it is a fundamental change in human behavior.
Google has been riding on this fundamental change of behavior for so long. For years, our behavior has been really simple, whenever we need some information, we just look for that information on Google, we get a lot of links in return, we click all of them and open them up in different tabs, and we look out and scrape the information, whatever is needed for us. But ChatGPT is changing this fundamental behavior.
Now, wait a minute and just think for a second. Dont think like a techie person; think about how your mom and dad will search for the information. If my mom needs a recipe, shes not going to look for Google because one page might give a result, and one page might not give a result, and thats why my mom these days is looking for all the recipes on YouTube because its a direct answer. Similarly to this, regular people will not like to google the stuff eventually in the future; if they can get the result directly by asking a bot and getting the exact result and recipe, why would anybody be searching on Google?
Now, surely I do understand right now this tech is not perfect, and it might give you biased results on politics and all these things, but thats an edge case, and if I were talking about just the ChatGPT, I would not be that much concerned. This is a point of concern because this ChatGPT is now backed by a big giant, and when investor money pours in, then the game is all different. Microsoft recently invested $1 billion in OpenAI and the ChatGPT, and recently they are pouring in more money, $10 billion, and also providing infrastructure of the entire Azure system.
This is really getting exciting; in fact, Microsoft CEO just said that this would be a game-changer war. This will impact the level of how the personal computer came in and how mobile technologies came in, and CEOs like Microsoft dont make statements randomly; they are very serious, and they know the impact of their statements.
Chatgpt means a chat-based AI bot, but thats a little bit of vague information. Here GPT stands for Generative Pre-trained Transformer. In simple words, these guys took billions and billions of data, labeled it out, and it was trained on petabytes of data, billions of parameter petabytes of data.
So ChatGPT is a generative chatbot, it has already learned so many things via our labels and our information, and now it understands the context. The context is really important here; you can chat and ask for some questions; if you feel like you need more of that question or information, you can just ask for it. It will remember what you asked it, and it can improvise over on top of it. The biggest mistake people make with ChatGPT is thinking like a techie because techies are making all these conversations nowadays. But this chatbot, if you think from the perspective of your mom and dad or somebody who is not that techie, if he gets the result directly there, then you will start to understand that this is a revolutionary tech. Just simply ask the question, and it will give you answers; no need to go through hundreds of links.
This also makes a really big educational impact, like asking a question, and ChatGPT can answer it. ChatGPT can bring the answer in a very concentrated format; if you dont like it, just ask it to revise it. This is almost like your favorite YouTube channel. Why are you subscribed to that YouTube channel? Because there is no fuss around it; its a direct point, and you get the answer or the exact tutorial. Thats what YouTube is shining for, and thats exactly in the text format is ChatGPT.
Personally, I dont consider ChatGPT a problem; its just the next big step in evolution. It can obviously clear exams and write your essays; you dont need to memorize anything. So you need to be more creative around your jobs and work; no need for memorization anymore.
Of course, right now, the only big problem is that I get a biased opinion. Since Im not looking for hundreds of links and hundreds of websites, I dont get another side of the information. Whatever ChatGPT is feeding me, Im just assuming thats true. Its almost like getting into a WhatsApp university where people think this is the source and the truth. But again, there could be an improvement; there could be a role of these edge cases, which can be improved over time.
I will not sugarcoat it; it will 100% kill a few of the jobs just like when computers came in, a lot of people doing clerical jobs are no more doing it now because computers can actually store your data much more efficiently. Surely it gave demand for new roles and new jobs. Now, we dont need to pass on the files around, but we need somebody who can enter the data, so data entry jobs are there. Creative jobs like programming came only after the computer, and at one point, everybody was resisting and getting afraid of computers.
Now, with the introduction of these AI jobs, some boring jobs or time-consuming jobs will certainly not be there. For example, if I just need a form where I can have login information and I want to code it out, ChatGPT can easily give it to me, but the way how I want it, the taste and the flavors, and the colors probably need to be tweaked out, but thats an easy job compared to writing the whole form as a code. So surely ChatGPT will give rise to a new kind of job, a new variety of jobs, but some jobs will get obsolete, so there is no need to sugarcoat it. Yes, we are about to lose a few jobs, but there will be many more creative jobs in the same industry. So this AI will help us to perform these tedious tasks, and we people can be more creative.
At one point in time, these (Orkut, Yahoo!, and BlackBerry) companies were too big to fail, but we have all witnessed that these companies are no longer as much relative as they were at one point in time.
At one point in time, we thought that Facebook was the ultimate social network, and then Instagram came, and now we are into the era of vertical videos, so things do change. No company is that big that it cannot fail or cannot fall down, and when the big giant fall down, it makes a lot of noise.
But this is not going to happen with Google because they are sitting on a huge, huge pile of cash, and as Peter Thiel once said, Google is such a big giant sitting on such a huge amount of cash, yet they are doing less innovation. Now the pressure is on Google, so in pressure, diamonds are always created; the same will happen with Google as well. Under this pressure, they will be moving more aggressively toward AI. They might win the race, or they might lose the race, but somebody is kicking their butt. But Google is known for experimenting and creating new ones all the time.
See simply what we can do is, first of all, get ready to change. Adoption is really the foundation; survival of the fittest. Get ready to learn and improvise, and try to be a bit more open as well. Its not like Google is here, so its going to be remaining here forever. Things do change and try to explore a little bit more about Bing. Lets be more open about it, and if the world eventually moves there, we will also be moving there. So dont be rigid, be more creative, be more open, and explore the more horizons and more opportunities that are available. I am already on Bing and exploring it just like Im exploring Google. The app is already on my phone, the browser is already there, and with my tabs are selected there, so Im just equally and open-mindedly; Im actually exploring Bing quite often.
So, this is the worlds most interesting time to be alive. I easily remember witnessing them when mobile phones were created, which was revolutionary. Seeing people that dont have any mobile devices now dont go anywhere, even in their bathrooms, without mobile phones, and now we are moving into another phase of AI, and I think this is the best time to see how the world is transforming.
Excerpt from:
Is ChatGPT a disruption to Google? | by Vishnuaravi | Mar, 2023 - DataDrivenInvestor
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